Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 1.208688 1.433145 1.668132 1.930902 2.215033 2.511620 2.843266
2025-01-05 0.875064 1.185204 1.531666 1.940379 2.403016 2.904923 3.485353
2025-01-12 0.671934 1.014504 1.416954 1.910184 2.485780 3.125591 3.880599
2025-01-19 0.581451 0.960946 1.425058 2.010355 2.708428 3.497441 4.441144
2025-01-26 0.518049 0.928266 1.447661 2.118214 2.931855 3.863370 4.988863
2025-02-02 0.472290 0.910949 1.483618 2.237736 3.165766 4.239230 5.546633
2025-02-09 0.441500 0.908772 1.535032 2.373327 3.416742 4.633545 6.124807
2025-02-16 0.394750 0.877100 1.543258 2.451178 3.595160 4.940795 6.600753
2025-02-23 0.336739 0.820646 1.512790 2.475372 3.704534 5.163803 6.976435
2025-03-02 0.256739 0.717202 1.409178 2.397881 3.682445 5.225503 7.158873
2025-03-09 0.186585 0.616252 1.299828 2.305478 3.635839 5.253118 7.297105
2025-03-16 0.140053 0.547075 1.230131 2.261082 3.645885 5.346076 7.510066
2025-03-23 0.112839 0.512643 1.214515 2.295712 3.765264 5.583117 7.909165
2025-03-30 0.085305 0.470084 1.182873 2.306445 3.853508 5.782828 8.265514
2025-04-06 0.057176 0.414380 1.123639 2.273116 3.879996 5.902648 8.522189
2025-04-13 0.051585 0.417493 1.163058 2.383297 4.098045 6.263334 9.073694
2025-04-20 0.047538 0.424016 1.208043 2.501640 4.327230 6.638410 9.643373
2025-04-27 0.045196 0.435304 1.261347 2.632516 4.573694 7.035862 10.241253
2025-05-04 0.044787 0.452905 1.326016 2.780656 4.843943 7.463987 10.877550
2025-05-11 0.038331 0.447480 1.348692 2.865567 5.028481 7.783652 11.380871
2025-05-18 0.027956 0.422177 1.333308 2.891934 5.132716 8.000948 11.758003
2025-05-25 0.013202 0.362099 1.247572 2.807448 5.082754 8.019822 11.888694
2025-06-01 0.003838 0.302460 1.154607 2.706569 5.006424 8.002097 11.971679